Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002882 0.003012 0.003145 0.003290 0.003444 0.003603 0.003781
2025-02-16 0.002636 0.002832 0.003040 0.003276 0.003538 0.003820 0.004149
2025-02-23 0.002471 0.002704 0.002956 0.003251 0.003589 0.003964 0.004415
2025-03-02 0.002379 0.002643 0.002935 0.003284 0.003692 0.004159 0.004736
2025-03-09 0.002277 0.002561 0.002880 0.003269 0.003733 0.004275 0.004964
2025-03-16 0.002185 0.002483 0.002824 0.003246 0.003759 0.004370 0.005162
2025-03-23 0.002092 0.002399 0.002754 0.003199 0.003751 0.004418 0.005302
2025-03-30 0.002011 0.002325 0.002692 0.003159 0.003745 0.004467 0.005440
2025-04-06 0.001959 0.002284 0.002667 0.003162 0.003791 0.004578 0.005661
2025-04-13 0.001862 0.002183 0.002566 0.003064 0.003704 0.004516 0.005648
2025-04-20 0.001822 0.002151 0.002548 0.003069 0.003748 0.004622 0.005863
2025-04-27 0.001805 0.002146 0.002562 0.003115 0.003846 0.004802 0.006184
2025-05-04 0.001748 0.002091 0.002512 0.003077 0.003833 0.004834 0.006304
2025-05-11 0.001706 0.002053 0.002482 0.003065 0.003854 0.004912 0.006492
2025-05-18 0.001662 0.002011 0.002447 0.003043 0.003858 0.004967 0.006649
2025-05-25 0.001643 0.002000 0.002450 0.003072 0.003934 0.005123 0.006960
2025-06-01 0.001607 0.001966 0.002422 0.003059 0.003949 0.005192 0.007143
2025-06-08 0.001570 0.001930 0.002390 0.003038 0.003952 0.005244 0.007301
2025-06-15 0.001527 0.001884 0.002344 0.002996 0.003923 0.005247 0.007382
2025-06-22 0.001488 0.001843 0.002303 0.002959 0.003901 0.005258 0.007475
2025-06-29 0.001465 0.001823 0.002290 0.002961 0.003934 0.005353 0.007705
2025-07-06 0.001409 0.001758 0.002214 0.002871 0.003830 0.005237 0.007587
2025-07-13 0.001390 0.001742 0.002204 0.002876 0.003865 0.005333 0.007821